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Contributor Biographies

Paul Kasriel

Senior Vice President and Director, Northern Trust Company, UK
Paul KasrielPaul Kasriel

Paul Kasriel joined the economic research unit of the Northern Trust Company in 1986 as vice president and economist, and was made senior vice president and director of economic research in 2000. In 2006 he received the prestigious Lawrence R. Klein Award for making the most accurate economic forecast among the Blue Chip survey participants for the years 2002 through 2005. The accuracy of Kasriel’s 2008 economic forecast was ranked in the top five of the Wall Street Journal survey panel of economists. In January 2009, the Wall Street Journal and Forbes cited him as one of the few who identified early on the formation of the housing bubble and foresaw the economic and financial market havoc that would ensue after the bubble burst. Kasriel began his career as a research economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. He is coauthor of a book entitled Seven Indicators that Move Markets, and he serves on the Economic Advisory Committee of the American Bankers Association.

Articles by this Author

  • Why Printing Money Sometimes Works for Central Banks
    by Paul Kasriel
    At the start of March 2009, even after the signing of the US$787 billion fiscal stimulus package from President Obama, doom and gloom was the order of the day from most commentators. The markets were extremely volatile, anticipating the imminent nationalization of one or more major US banks. The US commerce department released its fourth-quarter GDP data for 2008, which showed that the economy had contracted at an annualized rate of 6.2%, the...

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